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EA review - Night Lottery EA

Rating total:
Backtests:
Live performance:
Risk control:
Customizability:
Price:
Vendor link | Price: $30  (2022.02.07)
Trading strategy: Night Scalper
Vendor live account: No
Own live account: No
Latest tested version:   1.14
Latest tested date: 2019.09.14
Risk factors: Strong price movements during the night

Night lottery EA is a night scalper that trades a mean reversion strategy with up to 5 positions in the same direction. These 5 positions are not opened in a grid, but depend on entry conditions. 

There is no signal available with a real money account, but the author publishes a demo signal. Strategies that rely on trading during periods of high spreads like night scalpers can lead to very different results between demo and real money accounts. 

The only recommended curerncy pair is EURUSD, which was tested with the recommended set file. However, we also tested other pairs with the same set file (and different max spread settings) to show the performance on those pairs. 

The seller seems to only optimze the EA starting from 2018. In the out-of-sample period prior to 2018, there were many more losses, indicating that the period afterwards is likely to be over-optimized. The maximum spread setting in the recommended set file is very low (0.7 pips), which prevents a lot of trades in the backtest. We also tested more realistic values, like 1.5 pips for EURUSD, which lead to much worse backtests again indicating over-optimization.  

 

Our opinion

For such a cheap price the backtest results for the recommended set file are actually better than we expected. However, since the author does not privode a real money signal, it is not clear if the low spread filter woud work on live accounts. With higher spread filter the results are much worse. One should also be aware that the possible loss case with 5 positions all hitting the SL is quite large (see backtest equity curve). So if you decide to try it out, use a very small risk.

Fixed lot size backtests

Why do we use fixed lot size (0.1 lots)? Check our educational page.

Dukascopy 2019.09.14, version 1.14

Full backtest report

Strategy Tester: Night Lottery EA MT4
SymbolEURUSD (Euro vs US Dollar)
Period5 Minutes (M5) 2010.01.01 02:00 - 2019.09.06 23:55 (2010.01.01 - 2019.09.10)
ModelEvery tick (the most precise method based on all available least timeframes)
ParametersC2="*** Order Settings ***"; MagicOrderNumber=2017; Lots=0.1; Slippage=1; MoneyManagement=false; MoneyManagementRisk=0.1; AllowNewTrades=true; AccountProfitLock=0; NFA_FIFOCompliant=false; PositionComment="R4FNightLotteryEA"; C3="*** Entry Settings ***"; TimeFrame=5; MaxSpread=0.7; Reverse=false; TrendFilter=false; TrendTimeFrame=60; GMTOffsetHours=2; StartCandleHour=22; EndCandleHour=0; BreakEvenCandle=false; BECandleHour=5; TakeProfit=4; InvisibleTakeProfit=0; StopLoss=250; RSIPeriod=10; RSIThreshold=40; RSIThresholdBuy=30; RSIThresholdSell=30; RMIEntry=false; RMIPeriod=14; RMIMomPeriod=5; ATRPeriod=7; ATRThreshold=1; ATRFilterOnAveraging=false; MaxTradeCount=5; TradeGroupsPerNight=100; TradeAllOfFirstHour=false; CloseAllPositions=true; CloseAllPositionsThreshold=20; CloseOpposingPositionsOnSignal=false; NoTradingOutOfTimes=false; ClosePositionsFriday=false; ClosePositionsFridayLastHour=21; ClosePositionsFridayMinutes=50;
Bars in test726547Ticks modelled228704129Modelling quality99.90%
Mismatched charts errors0
Initial deposit10000.00SpreadVariable
Total net profit8461.00Gross profit25780.80Gross loss-17319.80
Profit factor1.49Expected payoff1.27
Absolute drawdown2473.80Maximal drawdown2990.90 (28.44%)Relative drawdown28.44% (2990.90)
Total trades6676Short positions (won %)3589 (96.43%)Long positions (won %)3087 (95.92%)
Profit trades (% of total)6422 (96.20%)Loss trades (% of total)254 (3.80%)
Largestprofit trade101.10loss trade-256.50
Averageprofit trade4.01loss trade-68.19
Maximumconsecutive wins (profit in money)313 (1132.90)consecutive losses (loss in money)7 (-1286.40)
Maximalconsecutive profit (count of wins)1132.90 (313)consecutive loss (count of losses)-1286.40 (7)
Averageconsecutive wins40consecutive losses2
Graph

Full backtest report

Strategy Tester: Night Lottery EA MT4
SymbolEURUSD (Euro vs US Dollar)
Period5 Minutes (M5) 2010.01.01 02:00 - 2019.09.06 23:55 (2010.01.01 - 2019.09.10)
ModelEvery tick (the most precise method based on all available least timeframes)
ParametersC2="*** Order Settings ***"; MagicOrderNumber=2017; Lots=0.1; Slippage=1; MoneyManagement=false; MoneyManagementRisk=0.1; AllowNewTrades=true; AccountProfitLock=0; NFA_FIFOCompliant=false; PositionComment="R4FNightLotteryEA"; C3="*** Entry Settings ***"; TimeFrame=5; MaxSpread=1.5; Reverse=false; TrendFilter=false; TrendTimeFrame=60; GMTOffsetHours=2; StartCandleHour=22; EndCandleHour=0; BreakEvenCandle=false; BECandleHour=5; TakeProfit=4; InvisibleTakeProfit=0; StopLoss=250; RSIPeriod=10; RSIThreshold=40; RSIThresholdBuy=30; RSIThresholdSell=30; RMIEntry=false; RMIPeriod=14; RMIMomPeriod=5; ATRPeriod=7; ATRThreshold=1; ATRFilterOnAveraging=false; MaxTradeCount=5; TradeGroupsPerNight=100; TradeAllOfFirstHour=false; CloseAllPositions=true; CloseAllPositionsThreshold=20; CloseOpposingPositionsOnSignal=false; NoTradingOutOfTimes=false; ClosePositionsFriday=false; ClosePositionsFridayLastHour=21; ClosePositionsFridayMinutes=50;
Bars in test726547Ticks modelled228704129Modelling quality99.90%
Mismatched charts errors0
Initial deposit10000.00SpreadVariable
Total net profit9577.70Gross profit47018.80Gross loss-37441.10
Profit factor1.26Expected payoff0.78
Absolute drawdown5313.20Maximal drawdown9698.50 (67.42%)Relative drawdown67.42% (9698.50)
Total trades12257Short positions (won %)6025 (95.25%)Long positions (won %)6232 (95.09%)
Profit trades (% of total)11665 (95.17%)Loss trades (% of total)592 (4.83%)
Largestprofit trade201.40loss trade-270.80
Averageprofit trade4.03loss trade-63.25
Maximumconsecutive wins (profit in money)333 (1203.10)consecutive losses (loss in money)10 (-2551.60)
Maximalconsecutive profit (count of wins)1203.10 (333)consecutive loss (count of losses)-2551.60 (10)
Averageconsecutive wins32consecutive losses2
Graph

Full backtest report

Strategy Tester: Night Lottery EA MT4
SymbolGBPUSD (Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar)
Period5 Minutes (M5) 2010.01.01 02:00 - 2019.09.06 23:55 (2010.01.01 - 2019.09.10)
ModelEvery tick (the most precise method based on all available least timeframes)
ParametersC2="*** Order Settings ***"; MagicOrderNumber=2017; Lots=0.1; Slippage=1; MoneyManagement=false; MoneyManagementRisk=0.1; AllowNewTrades=true; AccountProfitLock=0; NFA_FIFOCompliant=false; PositionComment="R4FNightLotteryEA"; C3="*** Entry Settings ***"; TimeFrame=5; MaxSpread=0.7; Reverse=false; TrendFilter=false; TrendTimeFrame=60; GMTOffsetHours=2; StartCandleHour=22; EndCandleHour=0; BreakEvenCandle=false; BECandleHour=5; TakeProfit=4; InvisibleTakeProfit=0; StopLoss=250; RSIPeriod=10; RSIThreshold=40; RSIThresholdBuy=30; RSIThresholdSell=30; RMIEntry=false; RMIPeriod=14; RMIMomPeriod=5; ATRPeriod=7; ATRThreshold=1; ATRFilterOnAveraging=false; MaxTradeCount=5; TradeGroupsPerNight=100; TradeAllOfFirstHour=false; CloseAllPositions=true; CloseAllPositionsThreshold=20; CloseOpposingPositionsOnSignal=false; NoTradingOutOfTimes=false; ClosePositionsFriday=false; ClosePositionsFridayLastHour=21; ClosePositionsFridayMinutes=50;
Bars in test726553Ticks modelled225390732Modelling quality99.90%
Mismatched charts errors0
Initial deposit10000.00SpreadVariable
Total net profit1586.30Gross profit1976.90Gross loss-390.60
Profit factor5.06Expected payoff3.71
Absolute drawdown122.00Maximal drawdown581.00 (5.36%)Relative drawdown5.36% (581.00)
Total trades428Short positions (won %)246 (86.99%)Long positions (won %)182 (86.81%)
Profit trades (% of total)372 (86.92%)Loss trades (% of total)56 (13.08%)
Largestprofit trade55.20loss trade-50.90
Averageprofit trade5.31loss trade-6.98
Maximumconsecutive wins (profit in money)32 (122.80)consecutive losses (loss in money)3 (-30.50)
Maximalconsecutive profit (count of wins)122.80 (32)consecutive loss (count of losses)-51.40 (2)
Averageconsecutive wins9consecutive losses1
Graph

Full backtest report

Strategy Tester: Night Lottery EA MT4
SymbolGBPUSD (Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar)
Period5 Minutes (M5) 2010.01.01 02:00 - 2019.09.06 23:55 (2010.01.01 - 2019.09.10)
ModelEvery tick (the most precise method based on all available least timeframes)
ParametersC2="*** Order Settings ***"; MagicOrderNumber=2017; Lots=0.1; Slippage=1; MoneyManagement=false; MoneyManagementRisk=0.1; AllowNewTrades=true; AccountProfitLock=0; NFA_FIFOCompliant=false; PositionComment="R4FNightLotteryEA"; C3="*** Entry Settings ***"; TimeFrame=5; MaxSpread=3; Reverse=false; TrendFilter=false; TrendTimeFrame=60; GMTOffsetHours=2; StartCandleHour=22; EndCandleHour=0; BreakEvenCandle=false; BECandleHour=5; TakeProfit=4; InvisibleTakeProfit=0; StopLoss=250; RSIPeriod=10; RSIThreshold=40; RSIThresholdBuy=30; RSIThresholdSell=30; RMIEntry=false; RMIPeriod=14; RMIMomPeriod=5; ATRPeriod=7; ATRThreshold=1; ATRFilterOnAveraging=false; MaxTradeCount=5; TradeGroupsPerNight=100; TradeAllOfFirstHour=false; CloseAllPositions=true; CloseAllPositionsThreshold=20; CloseOpposingPositionsOnSignal=false; NoTradingOutOfTimes=false; ClosePositionsFriday=false; ClosePositionsFridayLastHour=21; ClosePositionsFridayMinutes=50;
Bars in test726553Ticks modelled225390732Modelling quality99.90%
Mismatched charts errors0
Initial deposit10000.00SpreadVariable
Total net profit-3211.50Gross profit47780.50Gross loss-50992.00
Profit factor0.94Expected payoff-0.27
Absolute drawdown8999.10Maximal drawdown11625.80 (92.07%)Relative drawdown92.07% (11625.80)
Total trades12091Short positions (won %)6198 (94.87%)Long positions (won %)5893 (94.11%)
Profit trades (% of total)11426 (94.50%)Loss trades (% of total)665 (5.50%)
Largestprofit trade113.10loss trade-267.40
Averageprofit trade4.18loss trade-76.68
Maximumconsecutive wins (profit in money)384 (1428.30)consecutive losses (loss in money)8 (-1266.30)
Maximalconsecutive profit (count of wins)1428.30 (384)consecutive loss (count of losses)-1296.10 (5)
Averageconsecutive wins30consecutive losses2
Graph

Full backtest report

Strategy Tester: Night Lottery EA MT4
SymbolUSDCHF (US Dollar vs Swiss Franc)
Period5 Minutes (M5) 2010.01.01 02:00 - 2019.09.06 23:55 (2010.01.01 - 2019.09.10)
ModelEvery tick (the most precise method based on all available least timeframes)
ParametersC2="*** Order Settings ***"; MagicOrderNumber=2017; Lots=0.1; Slippage=1; MoneyManagement=false; MoneyManagementRisk=0.15; AllowNewTrades=true; AccountProfitLock=0; NFA_FIFOCompliant=false; PositionComment="R4FNightLotteryEA"; C3="*** Entry Settings ***"; TimeFrame=5; MaxSpread=0.7; Reverse=false; TrendFilter=false; TrendTimeFrame=60; GMTOffsetHours=2; StartCandleHour=22; EndCandleHour=0; BreakEvenCandle=false; BECandleHour=5; TakeProfit=4; InvisibleTakeProfit=0; StopLoss=250; RSIPeriod=10; RSIThreshold=40; RSIThresholdBuy=30; RSIThresholdSell=30; RMIEntry=false; RMIPeriod=14; RMIMomPeriod=5; ATRPeriod=7; ATRThreshold=1; ATRFilterOnAveraging=false; MaxTradeCount=5; TradeGroupsPerNight=100; TradeAllOfFirstHour=false; CloseAllPositions=true; CloseAllPositionsThreshold=20; CloseOpposingPositionsOnSignal=false; NoTradingOutOfTimes=false; ClosePositionsFriday=false; ClosePositionsFridayLastHour=21; ClosePositionsFridayMinutes=50;
Bars in test726607Ticks modelled164998484Modelling quality99.90%
Mismatched charts errors0
Initial deposit10000.00SpreadVariable
Total net profit346.82Gross profit512.82Gross loss-166.00
Profit factor3.09Expected payoff3.81
Absolute drawdown163.14Maximal drawdown470.11 (4.55%)Relative drawdown4.55% (470.11)
Total trades91Short positions (won %)65 (83.08%)Long positions (won %)26 (92.31%)
Profit trades (% of total)78 (85.71%)Loss trades (% of total)13 (14.29%)
Largestprofit trade68.18loss trade-37.55
Averageprofit trade6.57loss trade-12.77
Maximumconsecutive wins (profit in money)28 (121.48)consecutive losses (loss in money)3 (-56.08)
Maximalconsecutive profit (count of wins)121.48 (28)consecutive loss (count of losses)-73.69 (2)
Averageconsecutive wins7consecutive losses1
Graph

Full backtest report

Strategy Tester: Night Lottery EA MT4
SymbolUSDCHF (US Dollar vs Swiss Franc)
Period5 Minutes (M5) 2010.01.01 02:00 - 2019.09.06 23:55 (2010.01.01 - 2019.09.10)
ModelEvery tick (the most precise method based on all available least timeframes)
ParametersC2="*** Order Settings ***"; MagicOrderNumber=2017; Lots=0.1; Slippage=1; MoneyManagement=false; MoneyManagementRisk=0.15; AllowNewTrades=true; AccountProfitLock=0; NFA_FIFOCompliant=false; PositionComment="R4FNightLotteryEA"; C3="*** Entry Settings ***"; TimeFrame=5; MaxSpread=2; Reverse=false; TrendFilter=false; TrendTimeFrame=60; GMTOffsetHours=2; StartCandleHour=22; EndCandleHour=0; BreakEvenCandle=false; BECandleHour=5; TakeProfit=4; InvisibleTakeProfit=0; StopLoss=250; RSIPeriod=10; RSIThreshold=40; RSIThresholdBuy=30; RSIThresholdSell=30; RMIEntry=false; RMIPeriod=14; RMIMomPeriod=5; ATRPeriod=7; ATRThreshold=1; ATRFilterOnAveraging=false; MaxTradeCount=5; TradeGroupsPerNight=100; TradeAllOfFirstHour=false; CloseAllPositions=true; CloseAllPositionsThreshold=20; CloseOpposingPositionsOnSignal=false; NoTradingOutOfTimes=false; ClosePositionsFriday=false; ClosePositionsFridayLastHour=21; ClosePositionsFridayMinutes=50;
Bars in test726607Ticks modelled164998484Modelling quality99.90%
Mismatched charts errors0
Initial deposit10000.00SpreadVariable
Total net profit-446.23Gross profit26078.16Gross loss-26524.39
Profit factor0.98Expected payoff-0.07
Absolute drawdown2084.98Maximal drawdown8195.38 (50.87%)Relative drawdown50.87% (8195.38)
Total trades6677Short positions (won %)3741 (96.07%)Long positions (won %)2936 (95.50%)
Profit trades (% of total)6398 (95.82%)Loss trades (% of total)279 (4.18%)
Largestprofit trade66.97loss trade-287.95
Averageprofit trade4.08loss trade-95.07
Maximumconsecutive wins (profit in money)351 (1310.73)consecutive losses (loss in money)8 (-1471.42)
Maximalconsecutive profit (count of wins)1310.73 (351)consecutive loss (count of losses)-1471.42 (8)
Averageconsecutive wins41consecutive losses2
Graph

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